2010 Mortgage Rate Predictions
Posted by Jason Hellman on Wednesday, January 20th, 2010 at 9:37am.Wow! Credit and housing markets have gone crazy. The mess began building with easy credit and low interest rates. It’s only logical that it ends with a tight credit market and higher interest rates.
But when will that happen?
The credit market is already tougher than it has been since at least 2000. But what about the interest rate market?
Luckily, current rates are still at historic lows. And, contrary to what is commonly published, mortgages are readily available. That is, available to families who can demonstrate an ability and willingness to repay them.
The scary part is looking out into the second half of 2010. What will the real estate and mortgage markets look like later this year?
To answer that question, we need to acknowledge several efforts to steady the rate market and stimulate the housing market. The Federal Reserve program (part of TARP) of buying mortgage-backed securities is scheduled to end in March. This program has been an artificial source of continued low rates. The Fed has been an artificial buyer. When the demand for mortgage-backed securities is high, their rates are low. What will happen when the Fed stops buying these assets? When demand drops, interest rates rise to make them more attractive. This is on the calendar for March, 2010.
The now famous homebuyer tax credit expires with purchase agreements executed in April and closed by the end of June, 2010.
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to predict that rates will rise from historic lows. It is just a matter of when. If the Fed program ends in March and the homebuyer tax credit ends in April-June, what will be left to keep rates low?
I’m not alone with my expectation of higher rates in 2010. They may be significantly higher. If you have been thinking about buying a home, I suggest you get the process started. $200,000 loans are $125 cheaper monthly at 5% than at 6%. They cost another $131 monthly if you watch rates get to 7%. These small changes could keep you out of your dream home. Don’t watch historically low rates become history. Take advantage of the market today.
Jason B. Hellman is a Mortgage Planner with Dundee Mortgage Services. With almost 10 years of mortgage experience, Jason can find the product that is right for you. Visit Jason's website - Mortgage DNA for more information about the services he provides, or call him at 402-504-9410.
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